Lille vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
LIL
2 - 1
LHA
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1953 |
STR
2 - 1
LIL
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
LIL
3 - 2
NÎM
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
SOC
3 - 3
LIL
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LIL
2 - 1
SFP
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
NIC
3 - 1
RCR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1953 |
LEN
2 - 3
NIC
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
LHA
2 - 0
NIC
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASS
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
GIR
7 - 3
NIC
69%
16%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |