Lille vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
ASS
2 - 2
LIL
44%
23%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
LIL
3 - 2
REI
49%
23%
29%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
LEN
2 - 1
LIL
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
MON
1 - 1
LIL
37%
24%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
LIL
6 - 1
NÎM
62%
19%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1955 |
ASN
1 - 3
LEN
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
REI
5 - 2
ASN
78%
13%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
ASN
0 - 1
TFC
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1954 |
NÎM
1 - 0
ASN
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
ASN
2 - 1
ASS
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |