Lille vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
AVI
0 - 3
LIL
11%
21%
68%
|
85 | 35 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LIL
3 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 0
LIL
37%
29%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
33%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LIL
45%
27%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
VES
1 - 6
MET
18%
24%
59%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
MET
1 - 2
SOC
33%
28%
40%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 0
MET
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MET
0 - 1
AUX
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |