Lillestrom II vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
13º
6º
59
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
3 - 4
LIL
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ORK
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 3
STA
54%
19%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 0
LIL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
6 - 0
MOS
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 1
NAR
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
STR
56%
20%
24%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORK
0 - 0
NAR
16%
18%
66%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 0
ROS
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAR
2 - 3
RFK
56%
21%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |