Libya vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
59.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBY
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
LBY
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2006 |
SCG
1 - 1
URU
23%
24%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
URU
2 - 0
ROU
37%
27%
37%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
URU
1 - 0
NIR
70%
20%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
ENG
2 - 1
URU
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
AUS
1 - 0
URU
28%
24%
48%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |