Libya vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
LBY
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
YEM
1 - 1
LBY
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
YEM
0 - 1
LBY
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
LBY
3 - 2
UGA
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
SYR
2 - 1
LBY
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SDN
3 - 0
SYC
70%
18%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
ALG
1 - 0
SDN
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
DJI
0 - 4
SDN
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
UGA
3 - 0
SDN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
ETH
3 - 1
SDN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |