Libya vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
48.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NGA
4 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
LBY
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LBY
1 - 1
SDN
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
LBY
71%
20%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CGO
1 - 1
LBY
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NGA
4 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SYC
0 - 3
NGA
9%
20%
71%
|
85 | 40 | 45 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 2
ARG
19%
23%
59%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2018 |
NGA
2 - 0
ISL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 0
NGA
66%
20%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |