Libya vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
URU
16%
25%
60%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
LBY
1 - 2
CIV
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
3 - 0
LBY
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2006 |
TUN
3 - 0
BLR
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FIN
2 - 2
BLR
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
GRC
1 - 0
BLR
70%
20%
10%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BLR
3 - 1
LVA
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
BLR
0 - 1
NOR
17%
23%
61%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |