Libertas vs Tre Fiori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
LIB
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 1
LIB
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
LIB
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
4 - 3
FAE
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
COS
2 - 1
TFI
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
TFI
3 - 2
FAE
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TFI
1 - 4
TPE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
18%
24%
58%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
FAE
1 - 0
TFI
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |