Libertas vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MUR
6 - 3
LIB
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 2
LIB
8%
17%
75%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2003 |
LIB
1 - 1
JUV
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
FAE
2 - 1
LIB
36%
26%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COS
1 - 4
CAI
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2003 |
FAE
1 - 1
COS
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
DOM
4 - 1
COS
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
MUR
1 - 1
COS
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
COS
3 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |