Libertad Concordia vs Jorge Gibson Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 0
DPR
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 1
LBC
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 1
SFE
34%
24%
42%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
1 - 1
LBC
57%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LBC
0 - 0
ACH
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jorge Gibson Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
JGB
1 - 0
HUR
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
DPR
1 - 0
JGB
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
0 - 1
ACH
25%
23%
52%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 0
JGB
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JGB
2 - 0
COL
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |