Libertad Concordia vs Ex Alumnos 185 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 3
LBC
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LBC
0 - 0
HUR
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 0
LBC
58%
22%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LBC
0 - 2
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LBC
2 - 0
JGB
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ex Alumnos 185
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 0
DPR
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
JGB
3 - 0
ALU
35%
23%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SFE
5 - 0
ALU
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
0 - 5
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ALU
1 - 2
ACH
28%
24%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |