Libertad vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
IND
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 0
SFE
45%
28%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
GEN
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
IND
4 - 1
AME
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AME
1 - 2
RÑU
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 0
AME
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |