Libertad vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
1 - 2
GEN
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
HUR
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
30%
28%
41%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SFE
2 - 0
CAL
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PAT
0 - 0
SFE
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SFE
0 - 1
TFC
67%
23%
11%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
IND
1 - 1
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
COR
0 - 1
SFE
26%
29%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |