Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 0
LIB
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIB
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
AME
2 - 3
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 4
CCP
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LQE
0 - 0
RÑU
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
RÑU
34%
26%
41%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |