Libertad vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
IND
1 - 4
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 0
CER
70%
19%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIB
25%
30%
45%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2012 |
RÑU
3 - 3
NAC
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
0 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2012 |
IND
1 - 0
RÑU
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
RÑU
1 - 2
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RÑU
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |