Libertad vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
28%
28%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
LIB
2 - 1
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 0
RPA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RÑU
1 - 2
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
DEP
25%
24%
51%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 2
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |