Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DEP
0 - 0
LIB
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 4
LIB
31%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LIB
1 - 1
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SPC
1 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 1
NOB
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
CER
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
UCH
0 - 1
OLI
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 2
OLI
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |