Libertad vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
27%
29%
44%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RÑU
2 - 3
OLI
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
LAN
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
IND
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CER
0 - 0
OLI
20%
25%
54%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |