Libertad vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
59%
23%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 6
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 0
LIB
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
LIB
4 - 1
OLI
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 3
CCP
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 2
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |