Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
55%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
LIB
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
RÑU
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
4 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 4
GUA
19%
24%
58%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 2
SPC
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 2
GEN
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |