Libertad vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2014 |
RÑU
0 - 3
LIB
33%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
2 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
6 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 3
RIV
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AME
3 - 1
GUA
29%
25%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
LQE
2 - 2
GUA
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |