Libertad vs General Díaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
LIB
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
EST
40%
28%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
BSC
0 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
General Díaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 2
CCP
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
GEN
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 1
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |