Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
LIB
0 - 0
ATT
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
AME
3 - 3
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 0
SAN
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
AME
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
DEP
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 3
DEP
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
DEP
0 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |