Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CCP
1 - 3
LIB
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 1
LQE
33%
27%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 2
DEP
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 5
DEP
38%
25%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
RÑU
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |