Libertad vs Dep. Capiatá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
LIB
2 - 2
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
56%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Capiatá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 2
CCP
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
DEP
29%
26%
46%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 1
LIB
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 2
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |