Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
2 - 4
BOC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
LIB
3 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
BOC
2 - 0
LIB
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
GCA
0 - 3
SAN
5%
10%
86%
|
70 | 10 | 60 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
IND
1 - 4
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
CCP
21%
25%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |