Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 4
VEL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
VEL
3 - 0
LIB
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RÑU
0 - 1
LIB
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
RÑU
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |