Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CCP
2 - 2
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 4
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
12O
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PET
0 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |