Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 2
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
73%
19%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 1
LIB
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 2
NAC
24%
25%
50%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 3
2DE
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |