Libertad vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PET
0 - 1
LIB
24%
29%
47%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
2DE
1 - 1
LIB
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
LQE
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
CCP
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
12O
2 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
PET
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |