Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
KSA
4 - 1
LBN
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
ALG
0 - 0
LBN
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
77%
16%
8%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1998 |
ARM
1 - 0
LBN
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1998 |
LBN
0 - 1
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
KWT
4 - 0
SYR
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1998 |
EGY
2 - 1
SYR
83%
12%
6%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1998 |
BHR
2 - 0
SYR
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1998 |
SYR
0 - 0
OMA
72%
17%
10%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
SYR
3 - 0
OMA
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |