Lebanon vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1998 |
LBN
0 - 2
JOR
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1998 |
LBN
3 - 1
PLE
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1997 |
LBN
0 - 2
IRQ
10%
18%
72%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1997 |
SYR
3 - 2
LBN
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
LBN
2 - 1
LBY
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1998 |
PLE
1 - 2
SYR
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1998 |
SYR
3 - 0
JOR
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
JOR
1 - 0
SYR
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1997 |
SYR
3 - 2
LBN
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
SYR
1 - 0
MUS
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |