Lebanon vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1998 |
LBN
0 - 2
IRQ
8%
17%
75%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1998 |
UAE
1 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1998 |
LBN
1 - 1
SDN
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
LBN
3 - 3
SYR
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
KSA
4 - 1
LBN
90%
8%
3%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
KWT
3 - 0
IRN
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
USA
1 - 2
IRN
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
YUG
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
2 - 0
IRN
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |