Lebanon vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
JOR
1 - 0
LBN
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
BHR
4 - 3
LBN
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
PRK
0 - 1
LBN
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
LBN
1 - 0
SYR
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
LBN
0 - 0
BHR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
PRK
0 - 3
JOR
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2003 |
PRK
1 - 3
IRN
15%
20%
64%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2003 |
PRK
0 - 1
LBN
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
IND
1 - 1
PRK
6%
17%
76%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
PRK
2 - 0
IND
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |