Lebanon vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1999 |
MLT
1 - 0
LBN
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1999 |
LBN
0 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1999 |
IRQ
4 - 0
LBN
86%
11%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
LBN
1 - 1
OMA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1999 |
JOR
1 - 3
LBN
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SYR
0 - 0
PRK
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2000 |
SYR
5 - 1
PRK
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1999 |
THA
2 - 2
PRK
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1998 |
IND
0 - 2
PRK
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
PRK
1 - 1
TKM
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |