Lebanon vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 0
KWT
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
KWT
2 - 0
LBN
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
IRN
1 - 0
LBN
82%
13%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 3
IRN
8%
16%
76%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2003 |
LBN
0 - 2
JOR
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
KWT
0 - 4
BHR
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
UAE
1 - 3
BHR
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
NPL
1 - 3
BHR
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
OMA
0 - 1
BHR
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
BHR
0 - 1
KSA
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |