Nykøbing FC vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
12º
12º
44
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 0
LFA
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MID
1 - 0
LFA
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 4
IIF
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SKI
4 - 0
LFA
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 2
BFR
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AAF
4 - 0
SKI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BFR
1 - 0
AAF
22%
23%
55%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
THI
0 - 2
AAF
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 0
HEL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |