Lerum vs Gauthiod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
YTE
2 - 2
LIS
82%
11%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 3
OLM
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 2
LIS
85%
11%
5%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
STE
1 - 2
LIS
81%
12%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
LIS
2 - 4
AUS
13%
19%
69%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
GAU
3 - 1
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
LID
2 - 1
GAU
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
GAU
2 - 0
IFK
79%
13%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
GAU
5 - 1
TIK
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
GAU
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |