Lerum vs Carlstad United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lerum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
LID
0 - 1
LIS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
LIS
0 - 4
IFK
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
NOR
4 - 0
LIS
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
LIS
0 - 2
TIK
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TIB
1 - 3
LIS
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Carlstad United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
STE
1 - 1
CAR
25%
24%
50%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
LID
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
IFK
0 - 1
CAR
21%
24%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
NOR
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
TIK
1 - 1
CAR
28%
26%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |