León vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAP
0 - 0
LEO
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
IRA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PUM
2 - 1
LEO
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 1
UDG
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOB
1 - 2
LEO
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VER
3 - 0
MER
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 2
VER
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 1
VER
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |