León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
QRO
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MAZ
4 - 3
LEO
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 0
JUA
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
LEO
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 3
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUA
1 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 2
MON
39%
25%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOL
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |