León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
LEO
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
LEO
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
AME
2 - 1
LEO
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
1 - 2
PUE
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 4
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |