León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LEO
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
LEO
3 - 2
AUR
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PUM
1 - 2
LEO
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
VER
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 3
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAC
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VER
0 - 1
TOL
17%
21%
61%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |