León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 3
LEO
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
CAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
LEO
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
QRO
0 - 4
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TOL
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
TIG
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |