León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
LEO
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LEO
4 - 5
QRO
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
MON
5 - 1
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 2
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
LEO
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 1
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
QRO
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MON
3 - 2
TOL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |