Liga MX Finals - Clausura Semi-finals
Global 2-0
León vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 2
LEO
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
1 - 2
LEO
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 0
TIG
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIJ
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |