Liga MX Finals - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
León vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 1
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
LEO
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
LEO
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
CHI
44%
28%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
JUA
0 - 2
PUE
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
PUE
0 - 1
LEO
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |