León vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 0
LEO
26%
26%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
LEO
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
VER
1 - 1
LEO
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
ALT
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
ALT
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
2 - 2
UDG
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TIJ
0 - 0
ORI
54%
27%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ORI
1 - 0
IND
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
REB
1 - 2
ORI
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |