León vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
OBR
1 - 0
LEO
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 1
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
SNL
1 - 0
LEO
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LEO
2 - 1
COB
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GUE
3 - 0
LEO
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ORI
1 - 0
TIG
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ORI
3 - 3
CHI
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
ORI
2 - 1
DUR
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
CAO
2 - 2
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
ORI
4 - 1
TOR
24%
23%
53%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |